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柠乐 · 2022年06月25日

为什么不是b

NO.PZ2018120301000017

问题如下:

Serena explains to Trey that the underlying duration-matching strategy is based on the following three assumptions.

1. Yield curve shifts in the future will be parallel.

2. Bond types and quality will closely match those of the liabilities.

3. The portfolio will be rebalanced by buying or selling bonds rather than using derivatives.

Serena’s three assumptions regarding the duration-matching strategy indicate the presence of:

选项:

A.

model risk.

B.

spread risk.

C.

counterparty credit risk.

解释:

Correct Answer: A

A is correct. Serena believes that any shift in the yield curve will be parallel. Model risk arises whenever assumptions are made about future events and approximations are used to measure key parameters. The risk is that those assumptions turn out to be wrong and the approximations are inaccurate. A non-parallel yield curve shift could occur, resulting in a mismatch of the duration of the immunizing portfolio versus the liability.

为什么不选b,model risk 和 spread risk 区别可以详细解释一下吗?
1 个答案
已采纳答案

pzqa015 · 2022年06月26日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


Bond types and quality will closely match those of the liabilities. 这句话就排除了spread risk。

spread risk:

 

在免疫策略中,资产与负债的性质不同,比如asset 是国债,liab是公司发行的债券,企业债有spread,国债无spread duration,那么面对市场基准收益率变化,国债与企业债折现率变化不一致,进而价格变动不一致的,这是spread risk。

 

model risk:

 

所用的模型不准确带来的风险,主要系模型使用的一系列假设导致的,比如计算PBO的过程用到一系列假设,有关于工资增长率的,有关于折现率的等等,这些假设与未来实际情况不符,可能会导致免疫策略失败,造成的风险就是model risk。



----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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