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moon · 2022年08月02日

以为是问的carry trade如何执行。

* 问题详情,请 查看题干

NO.PZ201601050100001203

问题如下:

Recommend the trading strategy C&M should implement. Justify your response.

选项:

解释:

Given C&M’s research conclusion and the IPS constraints, the currency team should under-hedge Bhatt’s portfolio by selling the US dollar forward against the Indian rupee in a forward contract (or contracts) at no less than a 75% hedge ratio of the portfolio’s USD10,000,000 market value. By under-hedging the portfolio relative to the “neutral” (100% hedge ratio) benchmark, the team seeks to add incremental value on the basis of its view that the US dollar will appreciate against the Indian rupee while maintaining compliance with the IPS.

Since the Indian rupee is assumed to depreciate against the US dollar, a 100% hedge ratio would largely eliminate any alpha opportunity. However, a hedge ratio greater than 75% but less than 100% (as dictated by the plus or minus 25% versus neutral IPS constraint) provides the opportunity to capture currency return in the expected US dollar appreciation against the Indian rupee.

中文解析:

本题中本来担心美元贬值的,应该完全hedge

但现在预期美元升值,是对我们有利的,因此就可以降低hedge比例的情况了,而可以降低到的最低点就是在100%hedge的基础上下降25%,就是75%

看到题目的这几个字眼-市场稳定,想追求alpha,Following analysis of Indian economic fundamentals, C&M’s currency team expects continued【 stability in interest rate and inflation rate differentials 】between the United States and India. C&M’s currency team strongly believes the US dollar will appreciate relative to the Indian rupee.

C&M would like to exploit the【 perceived alpha opportunity 】using forward contracts on the USD10,000,000 Bhatt portfolio.


以为是问的carry trade如何执行。



1 个答案
已采纳答案

Hertz_品职助教 · 2022年08月03日

嗨,爱思考的PZer你好:


同学你好

的确是这样哈,乍一看题干信息感觉会与carry trade联系起来,但另外一些信息也告诉我们其实不是的。

比如说他们相信美元将会升值。我们知道carry trade策略成立的两个必要条件是:两国存在利差;两国的汇率稳定。而美元升值是违反了汇率稳定这一条的。

另外呢,题目说想要抓住alpha,而赚取alpha更多说的是主动管理赚取的收益,所以需要往主动管理方面去思考,而根据自己的判断(美元升值),然后调整策略,赚取收益才是主动管理的做法,所以从这个角度来考虑也不是carry trade,carry trade赚取两国利差,不需要根据对汇率的变动采取策略赚收益。

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