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打好主线 · 2022年12月03日

不明白为什么直接的外汇管制和需要抵御资本多少的关系?

NO.PZ2018091706000057

问题如下:

If the emerging market country used capital controls instead, this approach would:

选项:

A.

lead to a less independent monetary policy

B.

be more likely to succeed when capital flows are less persistent

C.

require that the ratio of foreign exchange reserves to FX market turnover be high

解释:

Although the empirical evidence is mixed, to a large extent the relativesuccess of capital controls depends on the magnitude and persistence of the capitalinflows that the policymakers are trying to resist (the less persistent, the higher theeffectiveness). A successful capital control policy tends to increase, not decrease,monetary policy independence. As a regulatory measure, capital controls do not dependdirectly on the level of foreign exchange reserves.

解析:尽管经验证据好坏参半,但在很大程度上,资本管控的有效力取决于政策制定者试图抵御的资本流入的规模和持续性(持续性越弱,有效性越高)。所以B选项正确。

一个成功的资本管控政策倾向于增加而不是减少货币政策的独立性。所以A选项错误。

作为一项监管措施,资本管制并不直接取决于外汇储备水平。所以C选项错误。


如果说C不对,即这题说的外汇管制并不是央行花外汇储备来平衡资本的买卖,那为什么B又能成立呢?(B的解释:资本管控的有效力取决于政策制定者试图抵御的资本流入的规模和持续性(持续性越弱,有效性越高)。

1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2022年12月04日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


如果说C不对,即这题说的外汇管制并不是央行花外汇储备来平衡资本的买卖,

是的

C的说法:require that the ratio of foreign exchange reserves to FX market turnover be high

资本管制的措施,并不取决于外汇储备。这两者并没有太直接的关系。


那为什么B又能成立呢?(B的解释:资本管控的有效力取决于政策制定者试图抵御的资本流入的规模和持续性(持续性越弱,有效性越高)。

B是正确的。

如果一个国家的资本流动规模本来就很小并且持续性很弱,资本管控的影响就很小,那么资本管控政策就更容易执行下去,反对这个政策的人就很少。

如果一个国家的资本流动规模非常大并且持续性很强,资本管控的影响就很大,那么资本管控政策就很难执行下去,反对这个政策的人就很多。


同学可以联系现实。

如果被封控的人很少,则大家就会赞同封控,封控就越有效,也越容易执行下去。

如果被封控的人非常多,影响面太大,则封控就很难执行下去。


资本管控是政策措施,政策的实施成本决定了资本管控的有效性。

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虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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