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lea · 2023年01月09日

为什么用3month gov debt作为E(rf)?

NO.PZ2022101402000009

问题如下:

An analyst is estimating a forward-looking ERP for a market based on the following information:


Using the Grinold-Kroner model, the estimates of the ERP is closet to:

选项:

A.

2.16%

B.

4.24%

C.

5.18%

解释:

B is correct.

The ERP using the forward-looking approach is calculated as

ERP = {1.8 – 1.2 + (1.9 + 2.7 + 0.0)} – 0.96

ERP = 5.20 – 0.96 = 4.24%.

Grindold Krono是forward looking model应该用longterm debt 3.15%不是吗

0.965是3month 应该算是shortterm

1 个答案

王琛_品职助教 · 2023年01月10日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


1

表格中的数据,并没有提供长期债的数据哈,已知的两个政府债券的收益,都是短期的

同学所说的是最后一行的数据,也是短期债 short-term

2

所谓的 long-term 并不是用来形容债券的期限,而是想说计算的历史数据是长期的

因为最后两行数据,是使用历史估计法来计算 ERP

3

倒数第三行是「当下」current 的债券数据

最后一行是「过去」多年的债券数据

使用未来估计法,Rf 使用「当下」的债券数据哈

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