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kgylldy · 2019年12月22日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018103102000046

问题如下:

Jacques is the portfolio manager of AB pension and she considers adding PZ Inc. to her portfolio. Previously, she believed the company would have extraordinary growth for 4 years and normal growth thereafter. After carefully considering the characteristics of the company and its competitors, she is wondering what the consequences would be if the duration of the first stage was assumed to be 8 years instead of 4, with all the other assumptions/estimates remaining the same. Which of the following statement is true?

Statement 1: If the H model is used, the total value estimated would increase.

Statement 2: By using DDM, the proportion of the total value of the stock represented by the second stage would not change.

选项:

A.

Statement 1.

B.

Statement 2.

C.

Both of it.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:DDM& H-model

解析:A是正确的。Statement 2错在如果较高的增长率将持续更长的时间,那么股票的价值就会上升。

statement2:两阶段股票价值=高速增长部分的现值+低速增长部分的现值(也就是终值,一般用GGM来计算)。GGM=D1/r-g 第一阶段高速增长时间越长,D1就越大,那么GGM计算出来的终值也就越大。

第一阶段变长,则1)高速增长部分现值增加,2)由于股利高速增长率12%>要求回报率9%,低速增长部分现值也增加,3)股票价值也增加,怎么判断比重变不变呢?

1 个答案

maggie_品职助教 · 2019年12月23日

这道题问的是哪个选项正确,所以选A 只有statement1 是正确的。而statement 2的说法是错误的。你是不是看错选项了?

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NO.PZ2018103102000046 问题如下 Jacques is the portfolio manager of pension anshe consirs aing PZ Into her portfolio. Previously, she believethe company woulhave extraornary growth for 4 years annormgrowth thereafter. After carefully consiring the characteristiof the company anits competitors, she is wonring whthe consequences woulif the ration of the first stage wassumeto 8 years insteof 4, with all the other assumptions/estimates remaining the same. Whiof the following statement is true?Statement 1: If the H mol is use the totvalue estimatewoulincrease.Statement 2: using M, the proportion of the totvalue of the storepresentethe seconstage woulnot change. Statement 1. Statement 2. Both of it. A is correct.考点M H-mol解析A是正确的。Statement 2错在如果较高的增长率将持续更长的时间,那么股票的价值就会上升。 H mol与时间无关,那么在8年变4年,不应该影响价值呀

2022-07-20 11:32 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018103102000046 问题如下 Jacques is the portfolio manager of pension anshe consirs aing PZ Into her portfolio. Previously, she believethe company woulhave extraornary growth for 4 years annormgrowth thereafter. After carefully consiring the characteristiof the company anits competitors, she is wonring whthe consequences woulif the ration of the first stage wassumeto 8 years insteof 4, with all the other assumptions/estimates remaining the same. Whiof the following statement is true?Statement 1: If the H mol is use the totvalue estimatewoulincrease.Statement 2: using M, the proportion of the totvalue of the storepresentethe seconstage woulnot change. Statement 1. Statement 2. Both of it. A is correct.考点M H-mol解析A是正确的。Statement 2错在如果较高的增长率将持续更长的时间,那么股票的价值就会上升。 如题

2022-07-07 18:39 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018103102000046 statement 2的是不是应该是,总的value会上升,但是stage 2所占的比例会减少?

2021-04-08 15:59 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018103102000046 Statement 2. Both of it. A is correct. 考点M& H-mol 解析A是正确的。Statement 2错在如果较高的增长率将持续更长的时间,那么股票的价值就会上升。看了之前提问的助教回答,如下Hmol 是从第二阶段开始算的,那么多了三角形面积,肯定是高估。但是题目没有说清楚从哪一个阶段开始H mol,如果从第一阶段开始肯定少了三角形面积,肯定就是低估了。

2021-02-17 10:55 1 · 回答

总的价值会提高,但是第二阶段的价值会减少?

2020-10-28 10:19 2 · 回答