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janetrr · 2022年11月26日

提问

NO.PZ2018091706000022

问题如下:

In the long run, which of the following factor is most likely drive stock market performance?

选项:

A.

the potential GDP.

B.

the P/E ratio.

C.

the earning to GDP ratio.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:股票市场和经济增长的关系

解析:在长期,the potential GDP growth rate equals the growth rate of aggregate equity valuation.

对于其它因素,growth rate in the P/E ratio will be zero and growth in earnings relative to GDP is zero.

the potential GDP growth rate equals the growth rate of aggregate equity valuation

growth rate in the P/E ratio will be zero,=

这两个结论是怎么推导出来的?

1 个答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2022年11月27日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


这两个结论是怎么推导出来的?


这里可以从相反方向思考。

如果一个股票的P/E无限增长的话,这个股票的市值就会越来越高,那么总有一天,这个股票的市值会无限大,甚至买下一个国家。


如果一个股票的the earning to GDP ratio.无限增长的话,这个股票在GDP中的份额就会越来越大,那么总有一天,这个股票的市值也是无限大,甚至买下一个国家。


所以假定,在长期,这两个比率的变动为0。

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