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youtkr · 2023年11月20日

能不能详细解释一下trend rate of growth的概念

NO.PZ2018091901000053

问题如下:

Neshie Wakuluk is an investment strategist. Exhibit 1 summarizes Wakuluk’s predictions:

Wakuluk decides to focus on Country Y. Wakuluk makes the following observations:

Observation 2 Country Y is expected to significantly increase transfer payments and introduce a more progressive tax regime.

Based on Observation 2, what impact will the policy changes have on the trend rate of growth for Country Y?






选项:

A.

Negative

B.

Neutral

C.

Positive

解释:

C is correct.

Country Y is expected to significantly increase transfer payments and introduce a more progressive tax regime. Both of these changes are progrowth government policies and should have a positive impact on the trend rate of growth for a business cycle that is in slowdown or contraction. Transfer payments help mitigate fluctuations in disposable income for the most vulnerable households, while progressive tax regimes imply that the effective tax rate on the private sector is pro-cyclical (i.e., rising as the economy expands and falling as the economy contracts).

解析:

题目中说道预计Y国将大幅增加转移支付,并引入更累进的税收制度。这两种变化都是促进经济增长的政府政策,应此会对经济放缓或收缩的商业周期的趋势增长率产生积极影响。转移支付有助于缓解最脆弱家庭可支配收入的波动,而累进税制意味着对私营部门的有效税率是顺周期的(例如,经济扩张时上升,经济收缩时下降)。所以C选项正确。

如题

1 个答案
已采纳答案

笛子_品职助教 · 2023年11月20日

嗨,努力学习的PZer你好:


trend rate of growth字面意思是GDP趋势增长率,一般也可以理解为潜在GDP增长率。

潜在GDP增长率取决于:劳动力增长、资本深化、技术进步。


一般思路认为,自动稳定器,是会影响trend RATE.

自动稳定器减少了经济波动,降低了不确定性,这使人们更愿意从事经济活动,企业家更愿意投资。

注意这里的政策并非一定是短期的。


结合本题:

Y国将大幅增加转移支付,并引入更累进的税收制度。这是一种自动稳定器。

Y国实行这样的政策,这可以降低Y国经济的波动率,因此提升Y国的趋势增长率。

----------------------------------------------
虽然现在很辛苦,但努力过的感觉真的很好,加油!

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NO.PZ2018091901000053 问题如下 Neshie Wakuluk is investment strategist. Exhibit 1 summarizes Wakuluk’s prections:Wakuluk cis to focus on Country Y. Wakuluk makes the following observations:Observation 2 Country Y is expecteto significantly increase transfer payments anintroa more progressive tregime.Baseon Observation 2, whimpawill the polichanges have on the trenrate of growth for Country Y? A.Negative B.Neutr C.Positive C is correct. Country Y is expecteo significantly increase transfer payments anintroa more progressivetregime. Both of these changes are progrowth government policies anshoulave a positive impaon the trenrate of growth for a business cycle thisin slowwn or contraction. Transfer payments help mitigate fluctuations insposable income for the most vulnerable househol, while progressive taxregimes imply ththe effective trate on the private sector is pro-cyclical(i.e., rising the economy expan anfalling the economy contracts).解析题目中说道预计Y国将大幅增加转移支付,并引入更累进的税收制度。这两种变化都是促进经济增长的政府政策,应此会对经济放缓或收缩的商业周期的趋势增长率产生积极影响。转移支付有助于缓解最脆弱家庭可支配收入的波动,而累进税制意味着对私营部门的有效税率是顺周期的(例如,经济扩张时上升,经济收缩时下降)。所以C正确。 增加转移支付和引入更累进的税收制度,是不是在任何周期的时候都是促进经济增长的啊?如果是的话,题目中country Y的contraction周期是不是没有特别的含义啊,如果题目改成问country X和Z,答案是不是一样啊?

2023-08-20 18:52 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018091901000053 NeutrPositive C is correct. Country Y is expecteo significantly increase transfer payments anintroa more progressivetregime. Both of these changes are progrowth government policies anshoulave a positive impaon the trenrate of growth for a business cycle thisin slowwn or contraction. Transfer payments help mitigate fluctuations insposable income for the most vulnerable househol, while progressive taxregimes imply ththe effective trate on the private sector is pro-cyclical(i.e., rising the economy expan anfalling the economy contracts). 解析 题目中说道预计Y国将大幅增加转移支付,并引入更累进的税收制度。这两种变化都是促进经济增长的政府政策,应此会对经济放缓或收缩的商业周期的趋势增长率产生积极影响。转移支付有助于缓解最脆弱家庭可支配收入的波动,而累进税制意味着对私营部门的有效税率是顺周期的(例如,经济扩张时上升,经济收缩时下降)。所以C正确。 trenG应该不受短期政策影响吧,选neutral

2022-03-03 22:31 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018091901000053 NeutrPositive C is correct. Country Y is expecteo significantly increase transfer payments anintroa more progressivetregime. Both of these changes are progrowth government policies anshoulave a positive impaon the trenrate of growth for a business cycle thisin slowwn or contraction. Transfer payments help mitigate fluctuations insposable income for the most vulnerable househol, while progressive taxregimes imply ththe effective trate on the private sector is pro-cyclical(i.e., rising the economy expan anfalling the economy contracts). 解析 题目中说道预计Y国将大幅增加转移支付,并引入更累进的税收制度。这两种变化都是促进经济增长的政府政策,应此会对经济放缓或收缩的商业周期的趋势增长率产生积极影响。转移支付有助于缓解最脆弱家庭可支配收入的波动,而累进税制意味着对私营部门的有效税率是顺周期的(例如,经济扩张时上升,经济收缩时下降)。所以C正确。 我浏览讲义只有讲automatic stabilizers可以平滑经济周期,好像没有点出来说可以提升经济长期增长率?谢谢

2021-10-24 18:30 1 · 回答

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2021-10-01 10:28 1 · 回答