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YueReggy · 2019年12月08日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018110601000007

问题如下:

The Red family has the investable assets of $1.2 million. Tom, the portfolio manager of the Red family, finds that a portfolio of 70% global equities and 30% bonds reflects an appropriate balance of expected return and risk for the Red with respect to a 25-year time horizon for the moderately important goals. Tom follows a goal-based approach to asset allocation and offers three possible portfolios to consider.

The Red express a high probability of success to fund a family foundation in 25 years, which has an estimated present value of $400,000. Which portfolio best meets the Reds’ goal to fund the family foundation?

选项:

A.

Portfolio 1

B.

Portfolio 2

C.

Portfolio 3

解释:

B is correct.

考点:goal-based approach.

解析:Portfolio 1中现金和债券占比过高,而family foundation有长达25年的实现期限,所以A可以排除。

另一方面,family foundation的实现意愿为high probability of success , 重要程度较高 ,但不是最高程度的,因此可以承担一定风险。 Portfolio 2相比3股票的占比更高,因此有一定的价值成长空间。而Portfolio 3中hedge fund占比最高,风险最大,对于 foundation的成功概率会有影响。

老师。这道题条件里说了 70%euqity+30%bond 是moderate improtant goals. 这个人想要high probability of sucess goal,意思就是需要一个moderate improtant goals.(目标越重要,要求的成功概率越高),因此应该选最接近 70%bond+30%equity的,这种思路对吗?

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Shimin_CPA税法主讲、CFA教研 · 2019年12月09日

嗨,从没放弃的小努力你好:


“这个人想要high probability of sucess goal,意思就是需要一个moderate improtant goals.(目标越重要,要求的成功概率越高) ”理解正确。

70%股票和30%债券在本题属于干扰项,对于25年期的portfolio投资参考配比为70/30,并且表格中没有哪一项是“70%在股票,30%在债券,其它配比为0的”,所以具体的投资比重还是要看sub-portfolio,根据表格中的资产配比找合适的组合。

目标的投资期长,有一定的风险承受能力。所以Portfolio 1 过于保守,现金和债券占比太高了。 Portfolio 2、3,最明显的差别在股票和对冲基金, 投资股票看重的是成长空间,对冲基金看重的是高风险下的高收益,因为对成功概率有要求,所以3太激进。


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