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Jenny · 2020年09月25日

问一道题:NO.PZ2016082406000038 [ FRM II ]

问题如下:

The KMV model produces a measure called expected default frequency. Which of the following statements about this variable is correct?

选项:

A.

It decreases when the leverage of the firm falls.

B.

It increases when the stock price of the firm has been rising.

C.

It is the risk-neutral probability of default from Merton’s model.

D.

It tells investors how the default risk of a bond is correlated with the default risk of other bonds in the portfolio

解释:

ANSWER: A

The EDF, similarly to the risk-neutral PD, decreases when the stock price goes up, when the leverage goes down, or when the volatility goes down. It is a transformation of the PD from a Merton-type model. The KMV framework can be extended to finding correlations, but the EDF is not sufficient.

请问一下选项C和D对应讲义的哪里?

1 个答案

小刘_品职助教 · 2020年09月26日

同学你好,

因为C和D是错误选项,讲义上没有很明确对应的部分。这道题考的是两个模型的对比和理解。知道KMV模型的整体计算过程中还是能比较好排除C和D的。

对于选项C而言,在KMV模型中不涉及risk-neutral这个概念,因为他是依靠违约距离计算得来的。

对于选项D,KMV模型是研究的对单独一个企业他的违约概率是多少,假设一个企业有两项债务,长期和短期,在计算DD时,也没有计算相关系数,更不用说多个债券之间的相关关系了,所以选项D错误。

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没看懂这道题考点

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