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Stanley · 2020年10月28日

问一道题:NO.PZ2018103102000046

问题如下:

Jacques is the portfolio manager of AB pension and she considers adding PZ Inc. to her portfolio. Previously, she believed the company would have extraordinary growth for 4 years and normal growth thereafter. After carefully considering the characteristics of the company and its competitors, she is wondering what the consequences would be if the duration of the first stage was assumed to be 8 years instead of 4, with all the other assumptions/estimates remaining the same. Which of the following statement is true?

Statement 1: If the H model is used, the total value estimated would increase.

Statement 2: By using DDM, the proportion of the total value of the stock represented by the second stage would not change.

选项:

A.

Statement 1.

B.

Statement 2.

C.

Both of it.

解释:

A is correct.

考点:DDM& H-model

解析:A是正确的。Statement 2错在如果较高的增长率将持续更长的时间,那么股票的价值就会上升。

总的价值会提高,但是第二阶段的价值会减少?

2 个答案

Debrah_品职答疑助手 · 2020年10月30日

同学你好,请见下面图片的具体计算过程(这里假设Gh<r),结论是第二阶段的现值占的比例减少了,所以not change是不对的。

如果是Gh>r,从公式推导上比较难判断,但至少可以看出来,statement2说的 By using DDM, the proportion of the total value of the stock represented by the second stage would not change 是错误的。

 

Debrah_品职答疑助手 · 2020年10月29日

同学你好,你说的是哪个statement?

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NO.PZ2018103102000046 问题如下 Jacques is the portfolio manager of pension anshe consirs aing PZ Into her portfolio. Previously, she believethe company woulhave extraornary growth for 4 years annormgrowth thereafter. After carefully consiring the characteristiof the company anits competitors, she is wonring whthe consequences woulif the ration of the first stage wassumeto 8 years insteof 4, with all the other assumptions/estimates remaining the same. Whiof the following statement is true?Statement 1: If the H mol is use the totvalue estimatewoulincrease.Statement 2: using M, the proportion of the totvalue of the storepresentethe seconstage woulnot change. Statement 1. Statement 2. Both of it. A is correct.考点M H-mol解析A是正确的。Statement 2错在如果较高的增长率将持续更长的时间,那么股票的价值就会上升。 H mol与时间无关,那么在8年变4年,不应该影响价值呀

2022-07-20 11:32 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018103102000046 问题如下 Jacques is the portfolio manager of pension anshe consirs aing PZ Into her portfolio. Previously, she believethe company woulhave extraornary growth for 4 years annormgrowth thereafter. After carefully consiring the characteristiof the company anits competitors, she is wonring whthe consequences woulif the ration of the first stage wassumeto 8 years insteof 4, with all the other assumptions/estimates remaining the same. Whiof the following statement is true?Statement 1: If the H mol is use the totvalue estimatewoulincrease.Statement 2: using M, the proportion of the totvalue of the storepresentethe seconstage woulnot change. Statement 1. Statement 2. Both of it. A is correct.考点M H-mol解析A是正确的。Statement 2错在如果较高的增长率将持续更长的时间,那么股票的价值就会上升。 如题

2022-07-07 18:39 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018103102000046 statement 2的是不是应该是,总的value会上升,但是stage 2所占的比例会减少?

2021-04-08 15:59 1 · 回答

NO.PZ2018103102000046 Statement 2. Both of it. A is correct. 考点M& H-mol 解析A是正确的。Statement 2错在如果较高的增长率将持续更长的时间,那么股票的价值就会上升。看了之前提问的助教回答,如下Hmol 是从第二阶段开始算的,那么多了三角形面积,肯定是高估。但是题目没有说清楚从哪一个阶段开始H mol,如果从第一阶段开始肯定少了三角形面积,肯定就是低估了。

2021-02-17 10:55 1 · 回答